Paderborn vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
PAD
5 - 0
SGS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
PAD
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PAD
3 - 2
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
HAL
4 - 4
PAD
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
PAD
0 - 1
S04
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
STP
2 - 2
SGD
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
STP
4 - 2
STO
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
RTV
0 - 1
STP
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
STP
2 - 1
BRE
18%
20%
62%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 2
STP
5%
13%
82%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | 0 |