Paderborn vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
STP
3 - 4
PAD
51%
24%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PAD
1 - 1
SGF
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
KSC
0 - 0
PAD
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 1
RBL
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
PAD
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MSV
2 - 1
FCU
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
EBT
1 - 1
MSV
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FSV
3 - 3
MSV
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MSV
0 - 2
STP
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SGF
1 - 1
MSV
57%
23%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |