Paderborn vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
FCB
3 - 2
PAD
32%
25%
44%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
PAD
4 - 2
EIN
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
WAT
1 - 2
PAD
29%
24%
47%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
PAD
4 - 0
KAI
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
HAU
3 - 3
PAD
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
HOM
2 - 2
BSC
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1995 |
HOM
3 - 4
KAI
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 4
HOM
41%
27%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
HOM
2 - 2
VER
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
WUP
1 - 2
HOM
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |