Paderborn vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
GUT
1 - 2
PAD
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
PAD
3 - 0
PRE
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
BNE
2 - 2
PAD
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
PAD
2 - 1
SAA
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
SAL
1 - 2
PAD
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
ERK
1 - 0
BSC
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
ROT
1 - 0
ERK
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
ERK
1 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
WUP
2 - 0
ERK
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
ERK
2 - 3
AAA
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |