Paderborn vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
55.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
PAD
5 - 3
KOL
5%
14%
81%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
PAD
1 - 4
HAN
25%
21%
54%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
RTV
3 - 2
PAD
83%
11%
6%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
BVB
1 - 1
LEV
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
BVB
5 - 2
KFC
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
KAI
2 - 0
BVB
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
BVB
4 - 2
EIN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
RTV
6 - 1
BVB
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |