Paderborn vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 0
PAD
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
PAD
3 - 0
KSC
45%
26%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FCU
0 - 2
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
AUG
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
ERZ
1 - 0
PAD
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 1
FSV
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
COT
3 - 3
AAA
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AAA
2 - 2
SGF
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 4
BYM
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AAA
4 - 2
KSC
60%
22%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |