Paderborn vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
F95
2 - 3
PAD
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 0
ROS
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
STP
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
FSV
2 - 2
PAD
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
PAD
2 - 1
KSC
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SGF
5 - 0
FCU
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
FCU
4 - 0
FSV
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
FCU
1 - 0
COT
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ROS
2 - 5
FCU
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FCU
0 - 0
F95
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |