Paderborn vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
STP
1 - 0
PAD
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
0 - 2
HAM
66%
19%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
HOL
0 - 1
PAD
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
PAD
3 - 1
DIE
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
PAD
1 - 0
WUP
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2005 |
HAM
3 - 2
FCU
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
FCU
0 - 0
STP
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
DIE
2 - 0
FCU
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 0
FCU
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FCU
3 - 4
HER
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |