Paderborn 07 II vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
52.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
14º
12º
18
1º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
17 | 67 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
|
1º
|
18 | 63 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 60 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 57 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 53 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 53 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 49 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 43 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 38 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 36 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 35 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 34 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 25 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22% |
|
Mid-table
|
86.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
TDO
3 - 7
PAD
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 2
GUT
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 2
PAD
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 1
MSV
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WUP
1 - 4
PAD
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 0
SVE
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
KFC
0 - 1
ROT
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 4
ROT
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TDO
1 - 6
ROT
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
3 - 2
GUT
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |