Paços de Ferreira vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VST
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
PAÇ
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
BMA
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VST
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SLB
4 - 1
VST
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
VST
3 - 1
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
VST
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |