Paços de Ferreira vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
PAÇ
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2009 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
LEX
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
72%
17%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
RIO
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SLB
0 - 1
VIT
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
TRO
64%
24%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |