Paços de Ferreira vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GFC
1 - 1
PAÇ
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
PAÇ
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
MOR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TON
1 - 1
VIT
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
MAF
1 - 1
TON
32%
25%
44%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
TON
44%
26%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TON
1 - 3
SCP
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
TON
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |