Paços de Ferreira vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SAL
3 - 2
PAÇ
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAÇ
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
SPB
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAÇ
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FAR
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2001 |
SCP
0 - 0
SAN
74%
17%
8%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
HAL
0 - 1
SCP
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
SPB
2 - 1
SCP
28%
24%
49%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2001 |
SCP
5 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
SCP
3 - 2
MID
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |