Paços de Ferreira vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
AVE
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
PAÇ
25%
27%
48%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FAM
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 1
PAÇ
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
BRA
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 2
VSC
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
SPC
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
COV
2 - 4
SPC
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACV
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
MAF
2 - 0
SPC
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |