Paços de Ferreira vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
VIT
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
PAÇ
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
58%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
10%
16%
75%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAC
32%
28%
40%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 0
RIO
52%
27%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 1
RIO
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
EST
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |