Paços de Ferreira vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
21%
24%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SLB
3 - 2
PAÇ
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 0
PAÇ
59%
23%
17%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
5 - 3
NAV
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
VST
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FCP
3 - 1
RIO
71%
19%
9%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACA
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SLB
1 - 0
RIO
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
RIO
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |