Paços de Ferreira vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
PAÇ
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PAÇ
4 - 1
VIZ
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ACA
2 - 1
PAÇ
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
EST
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 4
VIT
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
RIO
67%
22%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 0
NAV
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 0
RIO
38%
31%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 2
LEX
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |