Paços de Ferreira vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 3
PAÇ
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SCP
5 - 1
PAÇ
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAÇ
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VST
0 - 1
NAV
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 1
ACA
48%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
NAV
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 0
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 0
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |