Paços de Ferreira vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 5
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
ACA
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SLB
4 - 1
PAÇ
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
GFC
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
BMA
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCP
5 - 0
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLH
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |