Paços de Ferreira vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
PAÇ
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
BMA
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
SPB
5 - 2
PAÇ
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
OLH
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
OLH
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
SCP
3 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 0
MAR
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |