Paços de Ferreira vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
10%
16%
75%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
BNE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
1 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ZIM
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ZIM
0 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
FCP
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
60%
25%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 4
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |