Paços de Ferreira vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
74.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
BNE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
1 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ZIM
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
ZIM
0 - 0
PAÇ
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
60%
25%
16%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 4
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
FCP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |