Paços de Ferreira vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
BOA
0 - 0
PAÇ
70%
19%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
EST
1 - 0
PAÇ
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1993 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
SCP
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1992 |
SLB
5 - 0
PAÇ
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1993 |
FCP
3 - 0
BEL
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
53%
26%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1993 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
50%
27%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1993 |
EST
1 - 3
FCP
17%
27%
56%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1993 |
BOA
2 - 2
FCP
39%
28%
33%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |