Paços de Ferreira vs FC Marco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CHA
4 - 3
PAÇ
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
PAÇ
4 - 1
FEL
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ALV
3 - 3
PAÇ
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GON
2 - 3
PAÇ
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Marco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
FCM
2 - 2
FEI
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
NAV
2 - 1
FCM
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
FCM
1 - 2
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
FCM
40%
26%
33%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
FCM
1 - 1
MAI
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |