Paços de Ferreira vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
FCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
PAÇ
3 - 0
CHA
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
FAR
1 - 0
PAÇ
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAÇ
47%
28%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1991 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
TOR
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
FAM
2 - 2
MAR
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
TOR
6 - 1
FAM
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
FAM
2 - 1
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1991 |
SCP
3 - 0
FAM
73%
18%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1991 |
FAM
1 - 4
VIT
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |