Paços de Ferreira vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
5 - 3
PAÇ
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
SCP
24%
23%
52%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
PAÇ
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
PAÇ
49%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 2
VAD
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
SPB
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
FEI
70%
20%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
PAÇ
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
EST
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |