Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
VST
0 - 1
PAÇ
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
RIO
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
VIT
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 1
PAÇ
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
AEK
1 - 0
SLB
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SLB
5 - 0
LEX
72%
19%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
UDL
1 - 2
SLB
17%
23%
61%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
SLB
2 - 0
BAT
67%
20%
13%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 4
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |