Paços de Ferreira vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
BMA
0 - 1
PAÇ
50%
29%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
FCP
0 - 0
PAÇ
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
BOA
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
VIT
1 - 0
PAÇ
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
SLB
3 - 1
CSK
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
FAM
1 - 5
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
GKS
1 - 1
SLB
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1993 |
SLB
2 - 0
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |