Paços de Ferreira vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SCP
1 - 1
PAÇ
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ACA
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
PAÇ
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
PAÇ
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
ARO
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 1
ARO
41%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
ARO
65%
22%
14%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
VAR
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |