Paços de Ferreira vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+164%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 2
PAÇ
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
GON
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
OLH
1 - 0
PAÇ
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
OVA
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAÇ
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ALV
1 - 0
FEI
60%
23%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 0
ALV
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
ALV
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ALV
0 - 1
MAI
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |