Paços de Ferreira Sub 15 vs Penafiel Sub15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
3º
1º
7
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 15 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
7 | 7 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 1 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paços de Ferreira Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VRZ
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FAM
0 - 2
PAÇ
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
RIO
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
PAÇ
16%
18%
66%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAÇ
29%
21%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel Sub15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 0
VRZ
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
FAM
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 1
PAÇ
16%
18%
66%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VRZ
0 - 1
PEN
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |