Pacífico vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
PAS
4 - 1
PAC
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
PAC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 0
RIO
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PAC
4 - 2
BOG
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALI
52%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 0
UNI
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
RSC
2 - 1
UNI
51%
28%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
CAR
4 - 2
UNI
73%
17%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
JUN
3 - 0
UNI
84%
11%
4%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |