Pacífico vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
PAC
48%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 2
PAS
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
PAC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 0
PAT
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 2
PAC
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
HUI
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
AFC
49%
24%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
REA
1 - 2
FOR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |