Pacífico vs Willy Serrato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
MUN
2 - 1
PAC
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
PAC
0 - 1
AUN
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
PAC
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 2
LOS
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
WIL
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 0
ALF
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 1
WIL
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 0
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |