Pacífico vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SPC
2 - 2
PAC
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GAR
2 - 0
PAC
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAC
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAC
3 - 0
SAM
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAC
0 - 0
UTC
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
AYA
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
CIE
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |