Pacífico vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
PAC
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
PAC
2 - 1
WAL
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 0
PAC
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PAC
3 - 0
MAN
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SBO
2 - 2
PAC
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
AUN
2 - 0
LOS
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
AUN
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
AUN
3 - 0
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GAL
0 - 0
AUN
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUN
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -2 |