Pacífico vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
PAC
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
COM
4 - 1
PAC
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 0
HUA
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SPC
5 - 0
PAC
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
PAC
1 - 1
MEL
46%
29%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
HUA
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
COM
1 - 2
ALI
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 1
GAR
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |