Pacific vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
7º
5º
36
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 48 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 43 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 34 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
1% | 38.5% |
|
Next round
|
62.5% | 40% |
|
Eliminated
|
36.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 3
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
VAN
23%
24%
54%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ATO
0 - 1
PAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
VAN
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
4 - 1
ATO
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
YOR
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 2
YOR
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 1
HFX
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
YOR
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |