Pacific vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
7º
5º
24
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 51 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
76% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
71% | 8% |
|
Eliminated
|
28.5% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 0
HFX
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HFX
0 - 1
PAC
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
YOR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
PAC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
4 - 1
VAL
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 18 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
HFX
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 1
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
VAN
81%
14%
6%
|
62 | 15 | 47 | -1 |