Pacific vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
4º
26
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 2
PAC
15%
24%
61%
|
72 | 14 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATO
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
1 - 2
PAC
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 3
PAC
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
ATO
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
CAV
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
VAL
12%
19%
69%
|
62 | 13 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 3
PAC
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |