Pacific vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
4º
4º
55
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAV
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 0
VAN
86%
10%
3%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ATO
1 - 1
PAC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
0 - 2
ATO
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAV
50%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
CAV
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAV
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
41%
28%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |