Pacific vs Atlético Ottawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
5º
4º
25
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 53 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 46 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 42 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 41 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 39 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 32 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 28 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 28 |
8º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
20.5% | 87.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
22.5% | 7.5% |
|
Next round
|
46.5% | 4.5% |
|
Eliminated
|
10.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pacific
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 0
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ATO
0 - 0
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
YOR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
TSR
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 0
PAC
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 1
ATO
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 21 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ATO
0 - 0
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATO
2 - 0
VAL
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ATO
7 - 0
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HFX
1 - 3
ATO
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |