Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 0
PAC
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
QRO
66%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAZ
3 - 0
PAC
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TIG
1 - 0
PAC
49%
24%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 2
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 0
TIJ
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 2
COR
51%
21%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 2
HOD
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |