Pachuca vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 1
ATS
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
MER
1 - 0
PAC
28%
23%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 2
PAC
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
PAC
4 - 1
MER
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 2
PUM
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 3
LEO
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
CAÑ
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ATS
1 - 2
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
TOL
18%
24%
58%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |