Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
QRO
3 - 4
PAC
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 2
PUE
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PAC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 3
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VER
3 - 1
PAC
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
PUM
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 0
CHI
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VER
1 - 1
PUM
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PUM
2 - 1
JAG
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PUM
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |