Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
4 - 1
ATP
44%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
ATP
0 - 1
PAC
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 2
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAC
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
PAC
2 - 2
LAN
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
PUM
5 - 0
TIG
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SNL
0 - 1
PUM
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PUM
1 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
AME
2 - 0
PUM
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
PUM
2 - 0
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |