CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
Pachuca vs CF Montréal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 1
LEO
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ATS
1 - 3
PAC
43%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAC
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PAC
2 - 1
QRO
46%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CF Montréal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
DCU
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
RBN
1 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MON
2 - 2
NER
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CFS
0 - 0
MON
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |