Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 2-5
Pachuca vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2007 |
PAC
1 - 1
AME
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
AME
1 - 2
PAC
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 3
PAC
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2007 |
PAC
1 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAC
36%
26%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2007 |
FLU
3 - 0
SCI
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ATP
2 - 1
SCI
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
SCI
2 - 3
BOT
51%
27%
23%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
SCI
1 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
EME
1 - 2
SCI
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |