Pachuca vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TIG
1 - 1
PAC
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
PAC
2 - 0
LDA
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PAC
0 - 2
EST
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
PAC
3 - 3
JAG
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
LDA
2 - 1
PAC
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 0
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
TIG
6 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
TOR
0 - 1
PUM
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |