Pachuca vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
PAC
4 - 0
DEF
82%
13%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
MON
1 - 0
PAC
47%
24%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
PAC
1 - 2
TOL
54%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
DEF
1 - 0
PAC
18%
23%
60%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
PAC
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 2
AME
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
MOR
2 - 0
TOR
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 1
TOR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
TOR
2 - 0
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |